Which of the following parameters should you consider when determining the manual reorder point for a material?

Reading Time: 3 minutes

A reorder point (ROP) is a specific level at which your stock needs to be replenished. In other words, it tells you when to place an order so you won’t run out of stock.

Significance of reorder points

If you’re a business owner, knowing when to order more stock is important. If you order when you still have a lot of stock on hand, it will lead to extra stock piling up, which will increase your holding costs. If you order when you have zero stock on hand, you’ll be unable to make sales for as long as it takes to receive the order. The your vendor takes to supply the items, the more sales you’ll be losing. Setting a reorder point helps you optimize your inventory, replenish your stock of individual items at the right time, and meet your market demand without going out of stock.

How to calculate a reorder point

You need to know when to order each item in your inventory separately, because different items have different sell-through rates. To calculate the ROP for each item, you’ll need to know the following parameters:

Lead time: Time taken (in days) for your vendor to fulfill your order

Safety stock: The amount of extra stock, if any, that you keep in your inventory to help avoid stockouts

Daily average usage: The number of sales made in an average day of that particular item

Reorder Point Formula

Let’s look at how to calculate a reorder point both with and without safety stock. Then we’ll cover how to handle reorder points when you have multiple vendors.

  • Determining ROP with safety stock
  • Determining ROP without safety stock

Determining ROP with safety stock

This method is used by businesses that keep extra stock on hand in case of unexpected circumstances. To calculate a reorder point with safety stock, multiply the daily average usage by the lead time and add the amount of safety stock you keep.

Which of the following parameters should you consider when determining the manual reorder point for a material?

Let’s understand this with an example. Suppose you’re a perfume retailer who sells 200 bottles of perfume every day. Your vendor takes one week to deliver each batch of perfumes you order. You keep enough excess stock for 5 days of sales, in case of unexpected delays. Now, what should your reorder point be?

Lead time = 7 days Safety stock = 5 days x 200 bottles = 1000 bottles

ROP = (200 x 7) + 1000 = 2400 bottles

The order for the next batch of perfume should be placed when there are 2400 bottles left in your inventory.

Graph 
This simplified reorder point graph shows you the relationship between your reorder point, stock level, and safety stock over a period of time. It helps you visualize how your reorder point is based on your sales trends.

In the above graph, the maximum level is the sum of the safety stock and the order quantity, or 3400 bottles. Once the stock left in your inventory reaches the reorder level of 2400 bottles units, you should place a new purchase order with your vendor. The minimum level, which is 1400 bottles, will help you fulfill your orders until your ordered stock reaches the warehouse. Once the new order is received in your warehouse, the stock level returns to the maximum level of 3400 bottles units.

Determining ROP without safety stock

Businesses which follow lean inventory practices or a just-in-time management strategy usually don’t have safety stock. In such cases, your reorder point can be calculated by multiplying your daily average sales by your lead time. Typically, when you don’t have safety stock, your reorder level and the frequency of your orders tend to be higher.

Taking the above perfume example without including safety stock, your ROP should be:
ROP = 200 x 7 = 1400 bottles

Therefore, you should place an order for the next batch of perfumes when you have 1400 bottles left.

How to calculate ROP with different vendors

You may purchase items in your inventory from various vendors, and different vendors have different lead times. Therefore, it’s best to think of your reorder point on an individual item level.

For example, let’s suppose that you’re a retailer who sells water bottles and snack boxes. The two items are purchased from different vendors with different lead times. The water bottles take one day to get delivered (lead time = 1 day) and the snack boxes take four days (lead time= 4 days). In a typical day, you sell 5 water bottles and 10 snack boxes.

Without safety stock, your ROP with the vendor who delivers the water bottles should be: ROP = 5 x 1 = 5 bottles

When you have 5 bottles left, that means you have one day of sales before you run out of stock. Since your lead time is also one day, the new stock should arrive just in time for you to continue selling without interruption.

Similarly, your ROP with the vendor who delivers the snack boxes should be ROP = 4 x 10 = 40 boxes

You should reorder when you have 40 boxes of stock left in your inventory, which is four days of stock. Given that your lead time is also four days, the new stock should arrive just in time for you to continue selling without interruption.

A reorder point is crucial for effective inventory management. It saves holding costs and prevents stockouts, overstocking, and lost sales by ensuring that sufficient stock is always available in your inventory.

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Which of the following parameters should you consider when determining the manual reorder point for a material?

Reading time: 4 min
Keywords: SAP, MRP, reorder point planning, forecasting, Akaike information criterion

Reorder point planning in SAP constitutes a part of the so-called Consumption-Based Planning, which is itself a part of the MRP procedures. It is one of the main tools that help planners determine the expected demand and schedule stock replenishment accordingly.

Which of the following parameters should you consider when determining the manual reorder point for a material?
Image 1: Overview of MRP procedures

Planners need to manage the types and quantities of materials they purchase strategically; plan which products to manufacture and in what quantities; and ensure that they are able to meet current and future customer demand—all at the lowest possible cost. MRP helps companies maintain low inventory levels. Making a bad decision in any area of the production cycle will cause the company to lose money. By maintaining appropriate levels of inventory, manufacturers can better align their production with rising and falling demand.

The basic principle of Reorder Point Planning is to execute respective checks, in order to determine whether the sum of plant stock and firmed receipts falls below the reorder point (If the available stock falls below the reorder level, an order proposal is generated. The reorder point is made up of the sum of the safety stock plus the expected average material consumption within the replenishment lead time).

The reorder point should cover the average material requirements expected during the replenishment lead time-RLT. The safety stock exists to cover both excess material consumption within the replenishment lead time and any additional requirements that may occur due to delivery delays. Therefore, the safety stock is included in the reorder level.

The following values are important for defining the safety stock: • Past consumption values (historical data) or future requirements • Vendor/production delivery timelines • Service level to be achieved

• Forecast error, that is, the deviation from the expected requirements

Manual Reorder Point Planning

In manual reorder point planning, you define both the reorder level and the safety stock level manually in the master data record of the respective material.

Automatic Reorder Point Planning

In automatic reorder point planning, both the reorder level and the safety stock level are determined by the integrated forecasting program.
The system uses past consumption data (historical data) to forecast future requirements. The system then uses these forecast values to calculate the reorder level and the safety stock level, taking the service level, which is specified by the MRP controller, and the material’s replenishment lead time into account and transfers them to the material master.

Since the forecast is carried out at regular intervals, the reorder level and the safety stock level are continually adapted to the current consumption and delivery situation. This means that a contribution is made towards keeping stock levels low.

Forecast-Based Planning

Like reorder point planning, forecast-based planning operates using historical values and forecast values as future requirements are determined via the integrated forecasting program. However, in contrast, to reorder point planning, these values then form the basis of the planning run in forecast-based planning. The forecast, which calculates future requirements using historical data, is carried out at regular intervals.

This offers the advantage that requirements, which are automatically determined, are continually adapted to suit current consumption needs. If, during the current period, the material has already been withdrawn from stock, then the forecast requirement is reduced by the quantity of material that was withdrawn. This means that the quantity of the forecast requirement that has already been used is not included in the planning run again. You can specify the period split for the forecast (daily, weekly, monthly, or per accounting period) and the number of periods to be included in the forecast individually for each material.

The following forecast strategies are available in SAP for performing calculations: • Automatic model selection • Average • Moving average • Weighted moving average • Simple exponential smoothing (constant model) • Linear exponential smoothing (trend model) • Seasonal exponential smoothing (seasonal model) • Trend-seasonal exponential smoothing (multiplicative seasonal component) • Trend-seasonal exponential smoothing (additive seasonal component)

• Linear regression

The automatic model selection forecast strategy allows you to let the system select the forecast model that best fits the trend of the historic data, but if you already know that a particular forecast model is well matched to the time series trend, or if you explicitly want to use a forecast model for other reasons, you can select a particular forecast model.

In the automatic model selection, the suitability of a model is measured by Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC).

The Akaike information criterion (AIC) is a mathematical method for evaluating how well a model fits the data it was generated from. In statistics, AIC is used to compare different possible models and determine which one is the best fit for the data. AIC is calculated from: • the number of independent variables used to build the model.

• the maximum likelihood estimate of the model (how well the model reproduces the data).

The best-fit model according to AIC is the one that explains the greatest amount of variation using the fewest possible independent variables.

How to compare models using AIC

AIC determines the relative information value of the model using the maximum likelihood estimate and the number of parameters (independent variables) in the model. The formula for AIC is:

Which of the following parameters should you consider when determining the manual reorder point for a material?

K is the number of independent variables used and L is the log-likelihood estimate (a.k.a. the likelihood that the model could have produced your observed y-values). The default K is always 2, so if your model uses one independent variable your K will be 3, if it uses two independent variables your K will be 4, and so on.
To compare models using AIC, you need to calculate the AIC of each model. If a model is more than 2 AIC units lower than another, then it is considered significantly better than that model.

SUMMARY

Reorder point planning and Forecasting models are some of the main tools that help planners manage the types and quantities of materials they purchase strategically. SAP provides multiple options and models, either automatic or manual, that help in Material Requirements Planning.

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